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Canadian Auto Insurance Predictions for 2024

December 4, 2023 from Ratehub.ca


As we enter 2024, Canadians are bracing themselves for a reality check – auto insurance premiums are unlikely to buckle under the pressure of affordability. The landscape of Canadian auto insurance is shifting, driven by various factors, and here’s a comprehensive breakdown of what to expect in the upcoming year, complemented by insights from the experts at Ratehub.ca.


Recap of 2023

Before peering into the crystal ball for 2024, let’s reflect on the journey through 2023. Auto insurance premiums in Canada experienced a relentless climb, as evidenced by the year-over-year inflation rates:


January: +5.1%

February: +5.2%

March: +5.2%

April: +3.7%

May: +3.1%

June: +5.4%

July: +2.9%

August: +3.6%

September: +3.8%

October: +4.6%


(Source: Transportation Consumer Price Index, Statistics Canada)


The numbers tell a compelling story – increase the  was consistent and pervasive throughout the year, foreshadowing a challenging road ahead.


Expectations for 2024

  1. Legislative Changes in Alberta and Ontario

In response to the escalating auto insurance premiums, some provinces are taking action. Alberta and Ontario have introduced legislative changes to address the issue. Alberta is implementing a rate increase cap for certain drivers, while Ontario drivers will soon have the option to opt out of the currently mandatory Direct Compensation Property Damage (DCPD) coverage. These measures aim to curb the inflationary pressures on premiums.


Logan Mendenhall, Director of RH Insurance, comments on the legislative changes:


“It’s a short-term answer for what is going to be a long-term problem. Yes, many drivers can benefit from the rate cap, but others may be left paying even higher premiums to help balance out the overall risk in the market.”


  1. Stolen Vehicle Trends

Équité Association’s report on Canada’s top 10 stolen vehicles reveals a historical high in auto theft in 2022. Ontario witnessed a 48% increase, and Quebec’s surge was even more alarming at 50%. Insurance companies are responding with innovative solutions, such as Aviva’s Tag – an anti-theft tracking system. This not only helps in vehicle recovery but also introduces potential long-term benefits, possibly leading to lower insurance premiums.


Matt Hands, VP of Insurance at Ratehub.ca, shares insights on combating stolen vehicle trends stating that “Increases in comprehensive claims, such as auto theft, each year can negatively affect both insurance companies and drivers, making it overall difficult for consumers to have choices and options for the best rates.”


  1. Auto Insurance Fraud

Beyond vehicle theft, auto insurance fraud remains a significant contributor to rising premiums. Acts like staged accidents, inflated repair claims, and insurance agent scams plague the industry. Vigilance and reporting suspicions become crucial in mitigating the impact of fraud on insurers and, subsequently, on the wallets of consumers.


Matt Hands emphasizes the impact of auto insurance fraud; first impacting the insurers who are responsible for paying these bills, and then hurting the consumers by the increase in rates.


  1. High Repair and Replacement Costs


The inflated costs of vehicle repairs and replacements continue to be a persistent challenge. The Transportation Consumer Price Index indicates a 5.6% increase in passenger vehicle parts, maintenance, and repair costs from 2023 to 2022. Advanced car technology, including the rise of electric vehicles (EVs), adds to these costs. While repairs may be quicker, the expenses associated with specialized training and premium components can lead to higher insurance premiums.


Morgan Roberts, Director of RH Insurance, sheds light on the impact of advanced car technology on repair costs:


“As vehicles get more and more expensive to repair and replace due to advanced technology, we may see the impact of this on the insurance industry. On the bright side, they are getting cars fixed quicker now, and inventory is no longer as big of a concern.”


Tips for Consumers

In light of these predictions, Canadian drivers are urged to proactively navigate the challenging landscape:


  1. Stay informed about legislative changes in your province that may impact auto insurance premiums.
  2. Anti-Theft Measures: Consider anti-theft devices, like Aviva’s Tag, to potentially qualify for rate reductions and mitigate the impact of stolen vehicle trends.
  3. Fraud Prevention: Educate yourself about common fraud schemes and report suspicions promptly to safeguard against potential rate hikes.
  4. Comparative Shopping: With premiums varying based on individualized risk factors, regularly compare insurance quotes from different providers to secure the best rates available.


As the auto insurance landscape evolves, arming oneself with knowledge and proactive measures becomes essential for navigating the uphill climb of 2024. Whether it’s legislative changes, innovative anti-theft solutions, or consumer awareness, adapting to the changing dynamics will be key in managing the road ahead.





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